The Hang Seng Science and Technology Index rose to 1%, and the Hang Seng Index is now up 0.70%.CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 78.6 billion yuan today, and the winning bid rate was 1.50%, which was the same as before. As 41.3 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase expired today, the net investment on that day was 37.3 billion yuan.
Liquor stocks fluctuated and rebounded at the daily limit of Huangtai liquor industry, while liquor stocks fluctuated and rebounded at the daily limit of Huangtai liquor industry. Rock shares, gold seed wine, Yingjia tribute wine, Laobaigan wine, Jinhui wine, Shede wine industry and so on followed up.Spot gold hit $2,700 per ounce, a two-week high, rising by 0.24% in the day.The central parity of RMB against the US dollar was reported at 7.1843 yuan.
Shanxi Securities: The launch of new OpenAI products catalyzes the demand for low-orbit satellite to continue to accelerate. Shanxi Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) The "Open AI 12 Days" activity was held, and the official version of o1 &pro and the full version of ChatGPT pro o1 were released faster and more powerful than o1 preview, and they performed better in code, mathematics and writing, and still possessed the original ability of picture reasoning. With the marginal cost of training continuing to increase and cot reasoning computing power continuing to increase, the computing power demand in 2025 is real and may continue to exceed expectations. It is suggested that the current optical module, copper connection, power supply and liquid cooling should be switched to the low valuation of 2025 performance. 2) Amazon shows trn1 ultra cabinet products, and cloud manufacturer ASIC brings incremental demand for copper connection. Cloud manufacturers' self-developed ASIC will bring important demand increment for high-speed copper connection. At present, copper connection system component manufacturers are concentrated overseas, while bare wire supporting capacity is concentrated in China. 3) Last week, Yuanxin Qian Fan's third networking satellite was successfully launched in Taiyuan, and SpaceX mobile phones were directly connected to satellite networking for commercial use. The development of LEO satellite Internet is related to 6G standard discourse right, orbital frequency resources and the game of international air and space infrastructure powers, which is expected to force the launch of LEO constellation in China to accelerate again. Under the catalysis of continuous events, the relevant targets of the industrial chain are expected to usher in a certain performance contribution and drive the double-click market.The Hang Seng Science and Technology Index rose to 1%, and the Hang Seng Index is now up 0.70%.It is reported that Blackstone Group may withdraw from its bid for Bausch & Lomb, an eye care company. People familiar with the matter said that Blackstone Group may withdraw from its joint bid for Bausch & Lomb. Earlier, it was reported that Blackstone and TPG (Detai Capital) jointly bid for Bausch & Lomb, an eye care company. At present, negotiations are still in progress. If Bausch & Lomb is willing to accept a lower price, or TPG finds another private equity investment group as a trading partner, the transaction may still be completed.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13